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Intel’s performance has been tough in recent quarters as the PC industry is in the midst of a slump, with the tailwinds such as remote working and learning seen through Covid-19 easing. Over Q1, sales of Intel’s Client Computing group declined 38% to $5.8 billion, as PC sales fell by 30% over the quarter. While we should see a year-over-year decline over Q2 as well, there could be some respite on a sequential basis. Counterpoint estimates that PC shipments fell by about 15% year-over-year in Q2 2023, although shipments did see a sequential improvement of 8% versus Q1. Moreover, while PC vendors worked through chip inventory that they built up over last year in Q1, things could get better in Q2 as inventory levels likely come down. Separately, we expect Intel’s data center business to continue to face headwinds as demand from cloud computing and enterprise space remains mixed. Intel has also been losing share to rival AMD whose Genoa server chips offer a better price-to-performance tradeoff versus Intel’s current server processors.
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